Ու The Spectator-Ի էս հոդվածը մեկին մեկ իմ մտքերն ա փոխանցում։ Դրա հրա համար էլ դեպրեսիայի մեջ եմ։ Իրոք, լրիվ սյուռ վիճակ ա ․․․
The fatal mistakes which led to lockdown
Մենակ ներածական մասն ինչ ասես արժի․
Ու ամփոփումն էլ վրից․ver the past few weeks, my sense of the surreal has been increasing. At a time when rational interpretation of the Covid data indicates that we should be getting back to normal, we instead see an elaboration of arbitrary responses. These are invariably explained as being ‘guided by science’. In fact, they are doing something rather different: being guided by models, bad data and subjective opinion. Some of those claiming to be ‘following the science’ seem not to understand the meaning of the word.
An early maintained but exaggerated belief in the lethality of the virus reinforced by modelling that was almost data-free, then amplified by further modelling with no proven predictive value. All summed up by recommendations from a committee based on qualitative data that hasn’t even been peer-reviewed.
Mistakes were inevitable at the start of this. But we can’t learn without recognising them.
Մեջբերել
Էջանիշներ